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Every time I hear a government report on inflation (the Consumer Price Index), I cringe. They love to quote what they call the ¡°core inflation rate,¡± which excludes food and energy, currently reported to be around 2%. Do they think we have quit eating or driving? Then over the last year or so, they will mention the ¡°headline inflation rate,¡± which is supposed to include most everything we buy. Headline inflation is estimated somewhere between 3% and 4%. I suppose they believe the American people are dumb, or perhaps asleep? Speaking in the kindest terms I can come up with, these numbers are bogus, or smoke and mirrors. More realistically, in my opinion, they are fraudulent. Let¡¯s approach it from the standpoint of our beloved U. S. dollar, those pieces of paper we pour out our time and energy every day to acquire. It¡¯s a fact that the dollar has lost more than 95% of its purchasing power since 1913, the year the Federal Reserve Bank was created. I remember that all through the 1930s and 1940s coffee was a nickel a cup (with refills). It¡¯s now between $1 and $3 depending on where you buy it. I could give you hundreds of other examples. Would you like to get a grasp on this concept? Read the excellent one page essay below, by Richard Russell in his Dow Theory Letters report for November 14, 2007. (www.dowtheoryletters.com)
(Note: Mr. Russell uses the term fiat in the above quote. In case you are not familiar with this word, fiat is a Latin word which means literally, ¡°Let it be done.¡± Synonyms include ¡°declared¡± and ¡°decreed.¡± Fiat money is money which the government declares to have value, but which in fact has no intrinsic value because it is not backed by anything which has intrinsic value, and is merely created, without limit, on a printing press.) Someone has said, ¡°A picture is worth a thousand words.¡± Have you ever looked at a long term chart of the US Dollar Index? (See chart below). It looks like a chart of Enron a few months before it went bankrupt. Look at it. That¡¯s what you are working for. So, what should we do? Take the dollars you earn and get rid of them as fast as you can. Use them to buy real (tangible) assets. That¡¯s what smart investors (and even other governments) all around the world are doing. That¡¯s what my little investment group and I have been doing the last eight years, not based on my wisdom, but by listening to Rogers, Maybury, Russell and others, who foresaw what is happening today ten years ago. That¡¯s how we have averaged close to 20% per year for these eight years. A dollar invested in our portfolio on January 1, 2000 has now more than tripled. (Go to www.bigcharts.com advanced chart page, enter USD and select 2 years.) Of course, my belief is that the reason we followed these great investors is that we committed the whole project to God in prayer in 1999, as I¡¯ve explained before. And I want to quickly add that God was not obligated to prosper us as He has, nor is He obligated to continue to prosper us. You may read Chapter 1 of the Biblical Economics book for a discussion of this. Which brings me to an important point. What about those who
have little or no money to invest?
Above I mentioned that coffee was 5 cents a cup in the 1930s and 1940s. What I didn¡¯t add was that in those years our dollar was real money, defined as one ounce of silver, or 1/20 ounce of gold¡and you could convert your dollar into those metals at those ratios. Both England and the US were nearing the end of a one hundred year period of no inflation. During that period both countries backed their currencies with precious metals. One of the greatest economic gifts our congress could give the citizens (my opinion) is a stable currency. Then the low income, so-called laboring class could play on a more level playing field with the wealthy. I often wonder what our country would be like today if we had stayed on the money system we had for most of its first 200 years, the system clearly defined in our Constitution. |
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ABOUT INVESTING If you have not been faithful in the unrighteous mammon, who will commit to your trust to true riches?" (Lk. 16:11 NKJV) |
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