Jay O'Keefe's Investment Letters

Letter 1  
October, 2007

  
Getting Started in Investing

Introduction
No one knows the future (except God).  God willing, I will reach my 80th birthday in February, 2008.  80-year olds have less future, on average, than younger people.  Based on that simple, self-evident truth, I have to do something about the situation I find myself in.  Most of you have heard this before.  I¡¯ve been struggling with it for the past three years.  I¡¯ve made a decision.  I¡¯m going to begin an orderly (I hope) transition out of the direct management of investments for other people, but continue to give advice and counsel for as long as I have the energy and conviction that I can be of help.  I envision part of that counsel to include suggestions for those who would like to try to learn to invest on their own.

The Plan
My plan for accomplishing this transition is to begin writing a study course consisting of an undetermined number of letters.  The document you are now reading is Letter 1.  The following are some of the specific objectives of this study course.  (1) For those whose money I am now managing, to get you adequately prepared to handle all your own purchases and sales of individual investments, using the letters.  (2) For those whose money I am not managing, the same as the first objective.  (3) For those who don¡¯t have an investment program, but want to start one, how to get started.  (4) For those who want to learn how to become independent and gain expertise in learning to invest successfully, how to proceed, i.e., what to read and study, who to listen to, etc.

This fourth category will require much homework.  Most people in this category will be limited only by their lack of willingness to sacrifice, to pay the price in diligent study and research.  The head start you will have over what I had when I began investing 50 years ago is that you will learn that there are only a ¡°handful¡± of people that you will have access to, and who excel in investing.  You must know how to access them.  There will be hundreds who will seek you out, but will not be valuable to you.  You must (kindly and patiently, of course) avoid them.  They do not exist to make you rich, they exist to sell you something on which they get a commission, or sell you printed material.  If they could make you rich, they wouldn¡¯t need to sell you anything.  Yes, there could be a rare exception, but I have not found more than 2 or 3 in fifty years.  More on this later.

Beginning Steps
The very first step I recommend is to read Harry Browne¡¯s book, FailSafe Investing.  It is available at www.amazon.com, or may be downloaded from www.harrybrowne.org for a very nominal cost.  I urge you to proceed no further until you have read this book.  It is short and easy to read, and absolutely basic to investing.  You will learn about a concept the author calls The Permanent Portfolio.  It is so important, we will probably do a lesson on it alone.  

The second step I recommend is to decide what your risk profile should be.  Examples of people who should choose low risk (maximum safety) would be those with little savings, widows with low income, i.e. people who cannot afford to lose much.  High wealth or high income people, and younger people can usually take more risk, but you must take into consideration your own emotional profile.  FailSafe Investing is very helpful in discussing this subject.  And your decision will come into play early in our study course.  You¡¯ll see how.

The third step is to decide how much you will commit to your investment portfolio.  How much are you willing to set aside and leave alone for five to ten years?  And how much can you add to your savings each month?  Do you have any debt other than your house mortgage?  These are the key questions.  In this connection, I humbly suggest and urge you to read chapter 15 (Storing God's Property) and chapter 16 (Principles of Investing) of my book, Biblical Economics¡­Beginning at Square One.  This book is now available for free onlineThey will help you decide what your investment program should be.  If you already have qualified retirement savings (IRA, 401-K, etc.), I would recommend you include it, especially any of these which you have the right to self-administer.

We will conclude Letter 1 here.  Please don¡¯t begin (or continue) an investment program until you have carefully taken these first three steps, including the two reading assignments.
 

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Biblical Economics - what most people don't know the Bible teaches about economics
All I Have Commanded - an exhaustive list of what Jesus expects of His followers

WORDS WE HOPE TO HEAR ONE DAY
"Well done, good and faithful servant; you were faithful over a few things,
I will make you ruler over many things.  Enter into the joy of your lord"
(Mt. 25:21 NKJV)

 WORDS ABOUT INVESTING
If you have not been faithful in the unrighteous mammon, who will commit to your trust to true riches?" (Lk. 16:11 NKJV)

WORDS OF WARNING
The Apostle Paul wrote, "Now godliness with contentment is great gain. We brought nothing into the world and it is certain that neither can we take anything out. So having food and clothing we will be content with that. But those who want to get rich fall into temptation and a snare and into many foolish and harmful desires, that plunge people into ruin and loss; because the love of money is a root of all kinds of evil; in their greediness some have been led away from the faith and have impaled themselves on many distresses." (1 Tim. 6:6-10 NKJV)

TERMS OF USE
This information is public domain.  Jesus said, "Freely you have received, so freely give." (Matthew 10:8b)

DISCLAIMER
The information in these letters is the responsibility of Mr. E. Jay O'Keefe, but all your decisions are your own responsibility.


This web page was last updated on 11 January 2009 .

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